The best pre-race analysis you’ll ever read


Our very own Jonathan Stettin read this run so well, so people commented all over social media, it felt like it was written as an afterthought. This was not the case. It was race morning and appeared here on Past the Wire for our Tracking Trips members. If you read it and watched the race, as soon as they left the gate and Jose and Irad looked at each other, you could see it unfold the way Jon saw it. It was so good that we had to write about it and share it. Nobody does it better!

One thing that Jon and all of us at Past the Wire do is we talk about scores and good calls, but also about tough breaks and bad beats. They are both part of the game and it is a game where everyone will be wrong more often than they will be right. As Jon says, one of the keys is to make it matter, and it matters a lot when you’re right.

It’s the best pre-race call from The Preakness you’ll ever see. This might be the best pre-race call of any race you will ever see.

RACE 13- The 147th earliness

I see this race going in three ways and in two of them I see the same horse winning. I see #5 Early Voting cool, dangerous, fast and taking those wire to wire. Chad knew exactly what he was doing jumping the Derby. Cloud Computing second part maybe. i can also see #5 Early Voting sit a clear second catbird seat behind Armagnac and take the lead from it and get the jump and win. I think early voting can stalk and pounce and doesn’t necessarily need to be directed. I prefer him in the lead today, especially if the track is good for speed, but I don’t think he “needs” it.

The only scenario I don’t want to see, and I don’t think I will, I have to trust Jose to avoid: If Armagnac takes the lead and Jose decides to follow, I don’t want to see Joel and Epicenter turn right on him and see those two hit second and third. Epicenter has a lot more background and seasoning and that would compromise Advance votes odds.

Epicenter is a serious racehorse. Obviously, he can win. He should be tied or maybe 4-5. He was fighting hard to retain Zandon in the Kentucky Derby. He had nothing to offer when he saw Rich Strike inside. Sure, that was understandable, and he’s steadily advanced his entire career to date, but coming back in two weeks might give the new horse the edge and I believe Early voting definitely gets the jump.

The creative minister is a TRAVEL TRACKING horse. He’s talented. He can be as good but I think the rhythm favors Early voting which I also think is much better than a lot of people think.

Secret Oath is a very beautiful filly. I don’t think the rhythm is settling in well for her. She made a big move in the Kentucky Oaks and also before that in the Arkansas Derby. Now we’re going to ask him to take another big step against better, faster horses coming back in two weeks. Big ask in my opinion.

I’m going to make a serious bet on early voting!

Jonathan Stein

We think he will do it again in The Belmont Stakes! Not a TRACKING TRIPS member? Why?


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