Confidence in postal voting, election results marked by partisan divisions ::


– US voters are significantly less confident in the accuracy of the presidential vote count than they were four years ago, and their plans for how to vote differ significantly depending on which candidate they support, new data from NBC shows News / Wall Street Journal August poll.

The poll found that 45% of voters are not convinced the election results will be counted accurately, compared to 34% who said the same thing before the 2016 election.

The same proportion, 45%, is confident in the total vote count in 2020, against 59% four years ago.

When asked specifically about postal ballots, which President Donald Trump says are prone to fraud and foreign interference, according to President Donald Trump, 44% of voters say they are convinced that postal ballots post will be counted accurately, while 51% disagree.

Overall, 30% of voters say they plan to vote by mail, 20% say they plan to vote early at an early polling location in person, and 43% plan to go to the polls in person during the day. of the ballot.

However, the results of the survey on voting and electoral behavior are characterized by deep divisions by party and by presidential choice.

Supporters of Democratic candidate Joe Biden are significantly more likely than Trump supporters to say they plan to vote by mail. Almost half – 47% – say they plan to mail their ballot, and an additional 21% say they will vote before election day at an in-person advance polling site. Only about a quarter of Biden voters, 26%, plan to vote on election day at a polling station.

In contrast, two-thirds of Trump voters say they will vote in person on election day. Only 11% say they plan to vote by mail and 20% say they will vote in person early.

The results of the inquiry come as Trump has repeatedly attempted to discredit the security of mail-in ballots – he created an exception for mail-in votes in his own home state of Florida, where he will be mailing its ballot for the second time this cycle. The findings also come amid fears that the cost-cutting measures implemented by Trump’s new Postmaster General, Louis DeJoy, North Carolina businessman and top GOP donor, could cause delays that could lead to delays. the rejection of many ballots cast by mail.

“The 2020 election will be a socially siled affair, with Democrats much more likely to use the mailbox and Republicans the ballot box,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, whose company, Hart Research, led the survey with the republican company Public Opinion Strategies. . “What this means for the vote counting process and the way information is disseminated is of crucial importance in building confidence in the system, which is already at a low point. “

Major partisan differences in electoral confidence

Republican voters on the whole have much less confidence in the election results than their Democratic counterparts.

Only 36% of Republicans say they are confident the presidential election results will be counted accurately, while only 23% say the same about mailed ballots. Almost three-quarters, 73 percent, of Republicans believe that votes cast by mail will not be counted accurately.

Democrats are much more confident both in the counting of all the votes and in mail ballots in particular. Fifty-five percent of Democrats say they are confident in the total vote, and an even higher share, 65 percent, say they are confident in the counting of the mail-in ballots.

Partisan divisions also extend to what voters would like to see their state’s election administrators do to encourage mail-in votes during the current coronavirus crisis.

Overall, 54% prefer that voters in their state receive a ballot request in the mail that they must complete to receive an actual ballot – 21% – or automatically receive a ballot. by mail that is ready to be deposited – 33 percent.

Trump explicitly rejected the second approach. But the first practice is common for party agents and outside groups on both sides of the aisle.

But among Republicans, three-quarters – 73% – reject both strategies.

Among Democrats, a majority – 53% – say voters in their state should automatically receive the ballots in the mail, with no requests required.

The NBC / WSJ poll was conducted August 9-12, 2020. The margin of error for 900 registered voters is +/- 3.27 percentage points.


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